"相信一切的人是愚蠢的，不相信任何人的人是多疑的，只相信适当的人是聪明的。" ——亚里士多德
引言：当福尔摩斯遇上"信息侦探术"
名侦探的"信息鉴证法"
1887年，夏洛克·福尔摩斯在《血字的研究》中展示了他独特的推理方法。但很多人忽略了，福尔摩斯成功的秘诀不仅仅是逻辑推理，更重要的是他对信息来源的严格筛选。
福尔摩斯的"信息鉴证原则"：
- 证据优先：没有可靠证据支撑的推论都是猜测
- 来源追溯：每个信息都必须有明确的来源
- 交叉验证：重要信息必须有多个独立来源证实
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